Nasdaq Plunges 3.7%: Is a US Stock Crash Next?
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- February 8, 2025
In recent days, the performance of the U.Sstock market has taken a staggering downturn, which can be felt not just within American borders but around the globeThe S&P 500 dropped by 2.44%, the Dow Jones fell 1.45%, and particularly alarming was the Nasdaq Composite, which experienced a decline of 3.74%. This marks the most substantial single-day drop since a similar downturn of 4% on September 8, 2020. Such significant declines have fueled speculation and concern about the stability of U.Sfinancial markets, with many investors anxiously wondering if this downturn could be symptomatic of a much larger crisis looming on the horizon.
There are a couple of key factors driving this recent market plungeThe primary culprit appears to be related to the major social media entity known as Meta Platforms, which was formerly recognized as FacebookIn an ambitious bid to establish itself as a leader in the so-called “metaverse,” the company rebranded itself, signaling a heavy investment in this new digital landscape
However, the company’s latest quarterly earnings report has left much to be desiredAlthough revenues reached an impressive $33.7 billion in the fourth quarter, this represented a mere 20% increase, a stark slowdown compared to previous quarters where growth rates saw highs of 47.6%, 55.6%, and about 35%. Adding to the concern, Meta has reported it has already incurred a staggering $10 billion in losses related to metaverse development investmentsThe market responded to these disappointing figures by sending Meta’s stock plummeting by 25% upon opening, ultimately closing down over 26%—a record for the company since its initial public offeringThis amounted to a staggering evaporation of $250 billion in market capitalization, leading to global investor panic.
The second significant factor beginning to exert its influence on the U.Sfinancial markets is the tightening of interest rate expectations
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Christine Lagarde, the President of the European Central Bank, has indicated that interest rate hikes are no longer off the table for 2023, thus signaling a shift towards a more hawkish policy stanceCompounding this sentiment, the Bank of England announced in a historic move that it would raise interest rates for the first time in 18 years, hiking rates by 25 basis points to 0.5%. Moreover, plans to start shrinking its balance sheet and selling corporate bonds have also emerged.
With the reality of consecutive interest rate hikes already seen in the UK, these developments naturally elevate expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s approach in the U.SSuch shifts in monetary policy can trigger significant waves of volatility in the stock market, which we have exemplified in the recent downturn.
However, should we hastily conclude that this signifies the collapse of the American stock market? To address this, we need to critically analyze the performance of the underlying stocks
The remarkable rise of the markets during the pandemic can be traced back to two major phenomena: the Fed's intervention through liquidity injections and the impressive performance displayed by leading corporations throughout the economic challenges posed by the pandemic.
Among the hottest trends in recent years has been the concept of the metaverse—an area where Meta has heavily invested in hopes of future returnsYet, it is essential to highlight that the U.Sstock market is not solely dependent on one entityEven if Meta disappoints investors, many other tech giants are reporting substantial profitsTake Amazon as an example; despite only achieving a 9% growth in revenues, its net profits surged by an astounding 100%. In after-hours trading, Amazon saw its stock surge by 18%, and pre-market trading today indicates an additional rise of 13%. Similarly, Google has also reported revenue and profit growths exceeding 30% for the quarter.
This diversity in corporate earnings helps paint a fuller picture of the U.S
financial landscapeAlthough some concerns persist, a closer inspection reveals that the overall performance of U.Stech giants remains relatively strongAs long as these companies can maintain consistency in their earnings, a full-scale collapse of the stock market is, at least for the foreseeable future, unlikely.
Moreover, the context of rising interest rates should be understood with the knowledge that increases are imminentThe critical issue at hand revolves around the pace and intensity of these hikesFor the United States, stock performance plays an integral role since much of the populace’s wealth is tied directly to stock marketsA market crash would equate to a massive loss of wealth for many AmericansTherefore, while the aim of raising interest rates is to combat soaring inflation, if such measures drive the markets into the ground rather than stabilize them, one must question the efficacy and overall success of the proposed monetary policies.
In conclusion, while it is undeniable that the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates will place pressure on stock values, the extent and immediacy of that pressure might not lead to an outright collapse of the market
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